I do not usually follow this kind of patterns, but when the fundamentals and other aspects of my strategy are right, why should I ignore a beautiful trend channel like this. The buy zone starts around 94$ and the first target would be 133$. Of course there is always the chance that the bears might push the stock down so that the channel is broken. Someone might recognize this as a bearish flag.
Näytetään tekstit, joissa on tunniste trading strategy. Näytä kaikki tekstit
Näytetään tekstit, joissa on tunniste trading strategy. Näytä kaikki tekstit
Incyte Corporation (INCY)
Incyte Corporation is a biopharmaceutical company. The Company is focused on the discovery, development and commercialization of therapeutics to treat medical needs, primarily in oncology. Forbes listed the company to it´s "Most innovative companies" list. Now the market capitalization is significantly smaller than the other medical giants, but aren´t we looking for growing companies? The company showed this quarter again some really good numbers:
Sabre Corporation (SABR)
Sabre is a solution provider in technology for the global travel and tourism industry. The software that the company provides is used by hundreds of airline and hotel companies around the world. Sabre is showing strong earnings, the EPS (quarter over quarter) has grown 85% and annual EPS by 110,40%. Also the sales are up 21%. The ROE is up 93,30% during the trailing twelve months and the stock is also supported by institutions: TBG Group Holdings holds 16,55%, Silver Lake Group 10,83% and Vanguard Group 5,24% etc. The stock is also technically showing a promising pattern (see picture). The stock is recovering from the previous lows and is near the all-time high about to break through a 1-2-3 pattern. I am excited about the earnings report tomorrow before the market open.
To trade like an institution
First of all let us define what an institutional investor is.
Investopedia.com defines an institutional investor as follows: A non-bank person or organization
that trades securities in large enough share quantities
or dollar amounts that they qualify for preferential treatment and lower commissions. Instituional investors face fewer protective regulations because
it is assumed that they are more knowledgeable and better able to protect
themselves.
Hereby we can assume that investopedia is reffering to pension funds, mutual funds, hedge funds, insurance companies, investment banks etc. The institutional counterpart has a larger amount of equity to invest than an average commercial trader and the reasons why they trade a specific instrument can have various backgrounds: An institution might buy an instrument to close a short position or it might buy so that its mutual fund fills a specific fund criteria. Usually institutional trading can be noticed trough the order book, or watching the trade volume. As per se the institutions trade high volume contracts they might buy in blocks so that the market supply is enough and their market exposure is not too obvious. The funds originate mostly from the customers deposits. As the institution is obligated to maximize the customers returns it simply cannot spray it´s funds around the market. An institution trades relying on a definitive trading strategy. This strategy has been back tested and has been approved by the board. Thus we can define a few important steps to start trading like the big boys do:
1. Create a trading strategy that is easy to understand and has definitive conditions ( can be explicated in a mathematical equation, technical parameters or code)
2. Back test the strategy (e.g. manually or by programming it). Try to be as realistic and objective as possible.
3. If the strategy shows satisfying returns write the strategy down and hang it on the wall next to your trading station
4. Trade ONLY on the basis of the strategy! Rely on your strategy since it has proven to be somewhat profitable in the back testing phase. Every strategy shows negative returns at times. These periods may take several days to weeks, even months.
5. Put every trade in a table (e.g. an excel sheet) and derive statistics from them. Every trade has to be written down and rationalized with your strategy. In the future you can then look back at the failures and even try to avoid them in the future.
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